The renewal commit priced AWS's growth assumptions, not the company's forecast. Optimizing first and committing second cut effective spend a quarter.
A global media company renegotiated its AWS agreement by sequencing three levers: an EDP commit sized on real forecasts, Savings Plans coverage, and Reserved Instance hygiene. The combination saved roughly 25 percent.
The company renegotiated because its Enterprise Discount Program renewal proposed a commit built on AWS growth assumptions while the company's own forecast had flattened. Streaming and rendering workloads were maturing, and optimization work was already shrinking the baseline.
Signing the proposed commit would have locked three years of spend to a curve the business no longer believed.
Three levers, sequenced deliberately: usage optimization first, then coverage instruments, then the commit negotiation on the corrected baseline.
The three levers and what each contributed
| Lever | Action | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Reserved Instance hygiene | Retire unused RIs, fix instance family drift | Reclaimed waste funding the old commit |
| Savings Plans coverage | Recover coverage on steady state compute | Cut effective rates on the stable floor |
| EDP commit sizing | Negotiate the commit on the optimized baseline | Discount applied to a truthful number |
| Combined | Sequenced over one quarter | Roughly 25 percent off effective spend |
Because each lever changes the input to the next. Optimization shrinks the baseline, coverage cuts the rate on what remains, and only then does the commit negotiation price the estate as it really is. Run in reverse, the discount cements the waste.
Expired and orphaned commitments. Reserved Instances bought for retired workloads were still billing, and instance family drift had broken the match between reservations and running compute.
The commit was negotiated from the company's own forecast, presented with the optimization work as evidence that the lower number was deliberate, not distressed. The discussion moved from discount percentage to commit truthfulness.
Slightly, and it did not matter. The effective spend, which is the only number the CFO sees, came out roughly 25 percent lower. A deeper discount on the inflated commit would have cost more in absolute dollars.
The renegotiated agreement cut effective AWS spend roughly 25 percent: a right sized EDP commit, restored coverage discipline, and a reservation portfolio that matched the running estate.
The standard advice chases the discount percentage: commit bigger, get a deeper tier, celebrate the headline number. We disagree. In roughly 20 to 30 AWS negotiations Morten Andersen supported in 2024 to 2025, the estates that maximized the discount tier on an unoptimized baseline paid more in absolute dollars than estates that committed less on a clean one, in nearly every comparison we ran. The discount is a percentage of whatever you promise to spend. The buyer side move is to make the promise truthful first: clean the reservations, restore coverage, rebuild the forecast, and only then let anyone talk about tiers.
Three cuts of our advisory engagement file frame the size of the opportunity.
Source: Redress Compliance advisory engagement file, 2024 to 2025.
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By sequencing three levers: Reserved Instance hygiene, Savings Plans coverage, then an EDP commit negotiated on the optimized baseline rather than the historic bill.
Because the discount is a percentage of the commit. A deeper tier on an inflated commit costs more in absolute dollars than a fair rate on a truthful number.
Optimize usage first, restore coverage second, negotiate the commit last. Each lever changes the input to the next, and reversing the order cements the waste.
Commit inflation. First proposals in our 2024 to 2025 file anchored commits 20 to 40 percent above the customer's own credible usage forecast.
No, it strengthens it. A documented optimization program shows the lower commit is deliberate, which moves the discussion from discounts to truthful sizing.
Commit sizing, discount tiers, shortfall mechanics, and the buyer side moves at the AWS renewal cycle.
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The discount tier is AWS's number. The commit is yours. Whoever controls the commit controls what the agreement actually costs.
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